Table 3

Timeliness of model

Cohort, (n)Correctly identifies, n (%)Time from intubation, median (IQR), hoursBefore intubation, n (%)After intubation, n (%)Time from ARDS label, median (IQR), hoursBefore ARDS, n (%)After ARDS, n (%)Time from death median (IQR), hours
MV non-COVID-19 cohort
ARDS, (204)166 (81.4)0 (−12.8 to 26.0)87 (52.4)79 (47.6)0 (−43.8 to 12.0)115 (69.3)51 (30.7)
Death, (69)60 (87)225.5 (−461.3 to –101.3)
ARDS and death, (116)108 (93.1)-1 (−38.8 to 9.3)68 (63.0)40 (37.0)20 (−115.5 to 0.3)81 (75.0)27 (25.0)314 (−588.5 to –127.8)
ARDS or death, (389)274 (70.4)1 (−17.8 to 15.0)155 (56.6)119 (43.4)10.0 (−75.5 to 4.0)196 (71.5)78 (28.5)225.5 (−461.3 to –101.3)
No ARDS or death, (392)223 (56.9)
COVID-19 cohort
ARDS, (328)318 (97)3 (−8.8 to 11.0)136 (42.8)182 (57.2)0 (−16 to 9.0)141 (44.3)128 (40.3)
Death, (652)308 (47.2)58 (−112 to –20)
ARDS and death, (255)237 (92.9)4 (−1 to 18)86 (36.3)156 (65.8)0 (−12 to 10)125 (52.7)112 (47.3)112 (−211.3 to –52)
ARDS or death, (1235)555 (44.9)3 (−3.5 to 13.0)222 (40.0)333 (60.0)0 (−14.0, 10.0)266 (47.9)240 (43.2)58 (−112 to –20)
No ARDS or death, (4437)3724 (83.9)
MV COVID-19 subcohort
ARDS, (328)318 (97)3 (−8.8 to 11.0)136 (42.8)182 (57.2)0 (−16.0 to 9.0)141 (44.3)128 (40.3)
Death, (163)128 (78.5)37 (−87 to –11)
ARDS and death, (255)237 (92.9)4 (−1, 18)86 (36.3)156 (65.8)0 (−12 to 10)125 (52.7)112 (47.3)112 (−211. 3 to –52)
ARDS or death, (746)555 (74.4)3 (−3.5 to 13.0)222 (40.0)333 (60.0)0 (−14.0 to 10.0)266 (47.9)240 (43.2)37 (−87 to –11)
No ARDS or death, (57)13 (22.8)
  • ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome; MV, mechanically ventilated.