Model | AUC (95% CI) | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | Gap* | PPV (95% CI) | NPV (95% CI) | MCC (95% CI) |
Child models | |||||||
With falls | 0.86 (0.85 to 0.87) | 0.78 (0.77 to 0.79) | 0.78 (0.77 to 0.79) | 0.44 | 0.09 (0.08 to 0.10) | 0.992 (0.990 to 0.994) | 0.626 (0.613 to 0.639) |
No falls | 0.85 (0.84 to 0.86) | 0.71 (0.70 to 0.72) | 0.81 (0.80 to 0.82) | 0.48 | 0.12 (0.11 to 0.13) | 0.987 (0.983 to 0.991) | 0.569 (0.553 to 0.585) |
Adult models | |||||||
With falls | 0.85 (0.85 to 0.85) | 0.76 (0.76 to 0.76) | 0.80 (0.80 to 0.80) | 0.44 | 0.11 (0.11 to 0.11) | 0.990 (0.989 to 0.991) | 0.619 (0.614 to 0.624) |
No falls | 0.87 (0.87 to 0.87) | 0.77 (0.76 to 0.78) | 0.84 (0.83 to 0.85) | 0.39 | 0.16 (0.15 to 0.17) | 0.989 (0.988 to 0.990) | 0.659 (0.652 to 0.666) |
All ages models | |||||||
With falls | 0.85 (0.85 to 0.85) | 0.74 (0.74 to 0.74) | 0.81 (0.81 to 0.81) | 0.45 | 0.12 (0.12 to 0.12) | 0.989 (0.988 to 0.990) | 0.602 (0.597 to 0.607) |
No falls | 0.86 (0.86 to 0.86) | 0.77 (0.76 to 0.78) | 0.79 (0.78 to 0.80) | 0.44 | 0.13 (0.13 to 0.13) | 0.988 (0.987 to 0.989) | 0.623 (0.617 to 0.629) |
*The gap between sensitivity and specificity. Calculated as follows: Gap = (1−Sensitivity) + (1−Specificity).
AUC, area under curve; MCC, Matthews correlation coefficient; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.