Table 2

Predictor and trauma outcome variables

ModelAUC
(95% CI)
Sensitivity
(95% CI)
Specificity
(95% CI)
Gap*PPV
(95% CI)
NPV
(95% CI)
MCC
(95% CI)
Child models
 Goto LR200.78 (0.71 to 0.85)0.54 (0.39 to 0.69)0.91 (0.75 to 0.93)0.550.01 (0.01 to 0.02)0.990 (0.990 to 0.990)
 Goto DNN200.85 (0.78 to 0.92)0.78 (0.63 to 0.90)0.77 (0.62 to 0.92)0.450.01 (0.01 to 0.02)0.990 (0.990 to 0.990)
 Ours0.86 (0.85 to 0.87)0.78 (0.77 to 0.79)0.78 (0.77 to 0.79)0.440.09 (0.08 to 0.10)0.992 (0.990 to 0.994)0.626 (0.613 to 0.639)
Adult models
 Raita LR210.74 (0.72 to 0.75)0.50 (0.47 to 0.53)0.86 (0.82 to 0.87)0.640.07 (0.05 to 0.08)0.988 (0.988 to 0.988)
 Raita DNN210.86 (0.85 to 0.87)0.80 (0.77 to 0.83)0.76 (0.73 to 0.78)0.440.06 (0.06 to 0.07)0.995 (0.994 to 0.995)
 Hong Triage DNN220.87 (0.87 to 0.88)0.700.850.450.660.870
 Ours0.85 (0.85 to 0.85)0.76 (0.76 to 0.76)0.80 (0.80 to 0.80)0.440.11 (0.11 to 0.11)0.990 (0.989 to 0.991)0.619 (0.614 to 0.624)
All ages models
 Ours0.85 (0.85 to 0.85)0.74 (0.74 to 0.74)0.81 (0.81 to 0.81)0.450.12 (0.12 to 0.12)0.989 (0.988 to 0.990)0.602 (0.597 to 0.607)
  • *The gap between sensitivity and specificity. Calculated as follows: Gap=(1−Sensitivity)+(1−Specificity).

  • AUC, area under curve; DNN, Deep Neural Network; LR, logistic regression; MCC, Matthews Correlation Coefficient; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.