Table 2

Model comparisons

ModelActual peak dateActual peak amountModel run datePredicted peak datePredicted peak amountActual
amount on predicted peak
Difference in predicted peak and actual peak dateAbsolute % Difference in predicted and actual amount on predicted peak date
BL27 April4917 April26 May38332913
CHIME16 May256331987
UM-SIM26 May139332976
BL20 July15030 JuneN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
CHIME29 July574119979
UM-SIM7 July80106−1333
BL7 July21 July379145162
CHIME1 August5401191278
UM-SIM14 July110129-617
BL14 July31 July2131201144
CHIME5 August510931682
UM-SIM11 August150842244
  • BL, Beyond Limits; CHIME, UPENN COVID Hospital Impact Model for Epidemics; UM-SIM, University of Miami simulation model.