Table 2

Model comparisons

Model	Actual peak date	Actual peak amount	Model run date	Predicted peak date	Predicted peak amount	Actual amount on predicted peak	Difference in predicted peak and actual peak date	Absolute % Difference in predicted and actual amount on predicted peak date
BL	27 April	49	17 April	26 May	38	33	29	13
CHIME				16 May	256	33	19	87
UM-SIM				26 May	139	33	29	76
BL	20 July	150	30 June	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
CHIME				29 July	574	119	9	79
UM-SIM				7 July	80	106	−13	33
BL			7 July	21 July	379	145	1	62
CHIME				1 August	540	119	12	78
UM-SIM				14 July	110	129	-6	17
BL			14 July	31 July	213	120	11	44
CHIME				5 August	510	93	16	82
UM-SIM				11 August	150	84	22	44

BL, Beyond Limits; CHIME, UPENN COVID Hospital Impact Model for Epidemics; UM-SIM, University of Miami simulation model.